Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.056428e-05 0.000036 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067 0.000077
2025-02-16 2.603616e-05 0.000034 0.000043 0.000054 0.000067 0.000081 0.000099
2025-02-23 2.148442e-05 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000071 0.000091 0.000115
2025-03-02 1.627196e-05 0.000025 0.000036 0.000051 0.000070 0.000093 0.000122
2025-03-09 1.281429e-05 0.000021 0.000033 0.000049 0.000070 0.000096 0.000130
2025-03-16 1.034209e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000070 0.000100 0.000139
2025-03-23 8.567524e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000047 0.000072 0.000104 0.000149
2025-03-30 6.987658e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000072 0.000107 0.000156
2025-04-06 5.525129e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000043 0.000071 0.000109 0.000162
2025-04-13 4.071674e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000068 0.000107 0.000163
2025-04-20 3.203231e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000067 0.000108 0.000168
2025-04-27 2.689440e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000038 0.000069 0.000113 0.000177
2025-05-04 2.096108e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000038 0.000071 0.000120 0.000192
2025-05-11 1.982999e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000042 0.000079 0.000135 0.000219
2025-05-18 1.599307e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000043 0.000083 0.000144 0.000237
2025-05-25 1.022749e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000080 0.000143 0.000242
2025-06-01 6.740145e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000145 0.000250
2025-06-08 4.486856e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000079 0.000149 0.000260
2025-06-15 3.051155e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000080 0.000153 0.000272
2025-06-22 1.916470e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000081 0.000157 0.000282
2025-06-29 1.047057e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000079 0.000158 0.000289
2025-07-06 4.162986e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000076 0.000155 0.000289
2025-07-13 1.763864e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000075 0.000157 0.000296